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Tired of presidential politics? Here’s where power could shift in state capitols, too

时间：2024-12-03 19:16:47 来源：

Arizona State Rep. and House Speaker Ben Toma speaks to reporters during a legislative session at the Arizona House of Representatives on April 17 in Phoenix when Arizona House Republicans blocked the Democrats from holding a vote to overturn the 1864 abortion ban. Later, the legislature voted to overturn the ban. Rebecca Noble/Getty Images North America hide caption

toggle caption Rebecca Noble/Getty Images North America

And voters will decide whether to add abortion protections to their state constitution during a referendum on Election Day — one of 10 states with a reproductive rights ballot measure this year.

The state’s Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs was elected in 2022. She set a record for the most vetoes in Arizona history — striking down conservative bills involving elections, immigration and transgender people.

But Hobbs has been cuffed by the Republican-led Legislature and hasn’t been able to champion many policies on her own. If Democrats were to flip control of the legislature, they say they would scale back a massive $700 million school voucher program passed by Republicans.

Democrats haven’t had full control of the governor’s office and Legislature since 1966.

Sponsor Message Michigan

Democrats are attempting to preserve the trifecta they gained in 2022 after Gov. Gretchen Whitmer won reelection and the party gained narrow majorities in both legislative chambers.

Whitmer credited the abortion constitutional amendment on the ballot that year for the Democratic victories after she and other candidates made the issue central to their campaigns. Their wins meant Democrats were in full control of the state for the first time in four decades.

Since then, Michigan Democrats have passed progressive policies like abortion protections, gun safety and an expansion of prevailing wage rules while repealing conservative provisions like “right-to-work” legislation.

There are no state Senate elections this year and only the House is in play. Republicans argue Democrats have pushed the state too far to the left and they can provide a check on Whitmer’s administration.

Minnesota

Republicans are also trying to undermine a trifecta in Minnesota where the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party, Democrats’ official name in the North Star State, controls both legislative chambers and the governor’s office.

Democrats are defending a slim majority in the House and there is a political tie in the Senate after a legislator dropped out to run for Congress. A special election for the district, located in the Minneapolis suburbs, will determine control of the Senate.

Democratic Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz signs an executive order on March 8, 2023, at the State Capitol in St. Paul, Minn., to protect the rights of LGBTQ people from Minnesota and other states to receive gender-affirming health care. Steve Karnowski/AP hide caption

toggle caption Steve Karnowski/AP

Andrew Karch, a political science professor at the University of Minnesota, says it’s hard to make voters aware of these elections when there’s a splashy presidential race going on.

"I think that there's a real tendency for these races to sort of fly beneath the radar,” he says. I think in a lot of ways, there aren't that many messages that actually are bubbling up. I think again, these races often tend to get overshadowed by national politics and by other statewide campaigns."

Under Democratic control the Legislature passed — and Gov. Tim Walz signed — bills that provide free meals for kids at school, restore voting rights to some people with felony convictions and reinforce abortion access and transgender rights.

Sponsor Message New Hampshire

Control of the Granite State’s largest-in-the-nation Legislature has bounced back and forth over the years, but Republicans currently have a trifecta. The GOP currently holds a slim majority with 197 of the state House’s 400 seats (there are seven vacancies) and 14 out of 24 Senate seats. After five two-year terms, Republican Gov. Chris Sununu is not running again, leaving a rare open election for governor in this state without term limits. The race to succeed him is likely the most competitive in the country this year between Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Joyce Craig.

New Hampshire is one of the few states in New England without abortion protections enshrined in its state constitution and Democrats hope the issue, along with the open election for governor, will boost turnout.

In a photo from 2022, then-House Democratic Leader Joanna McClinton spoke to reporters after a budget address from the governor in Harrisburg, Pa., on Feb. 8. Later that year, Democrats would take control of the Pennsylvania House and elect McClinton as House speaker in 2023. She is the first woman and first woman of color to hold the post in Pennsylvania history. Matt Rourke/AP hide caption

toggle caption Matt Rourke/AP Pennsylvania

The Keystone State is one of two legislatures with split control — Republicans control the Senate and Democrats control the House.

Democrats hope recent statewide victories — the elections of Gov. Josh Shapiro and U.S. Sen. John Fetterman — will trickle down to local races in a year when the battleground state has been flooded with national attention. That year, Democrats won control of the state House by gaining 12 seats.

If Republicans win a majority in the House and take full control of the Legislature, it likely spells conflict between lawmakers and Shapiro.

Wisconsin

Democrats hope new political maps — redrawn by Democratic Gov. Tony Evers after the state Supreme Court struck down Republican-drawn maps in 2023 — will lead to a shakeup of the GOP-led Legislature.

Republicans have controlled the Legislature for more than a decade under maps that favored the GOP. According to Wisconsin Public Radio, at least 61 members of the state Assembly and Senate won’t run in their old districts — nearly half of the Legislature. Democrats are running candidates in 97 of the Assembly’s 99 races and in each of the 16 open Senate races.

Sponsor Message

Democrats argue the legislative maps have been out of step with voters after a series of statewide victories, including Evers’ reelection in 2022.

Senior politics reporter at MPR, Dana Ferguson, contributed to this story.

legislatures 2024 elections
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