How Iran’s missile strike on Israel appears to have hit some targets
Projectiles above Jerusalem, on Tuesday. Israel says Iran launched more than 180 missiles but that the assault did little damage. Menahem Kahana/AFP via Getty Images hide caption
toggle caption Menahem Kahana/AFP via Getty ImagesIran’s strike on Israel appears to have been more effective at reaching its targets than an attack in April of this year.
Videos posted to social media and geolocated by NPR and the online investigations group Bellingcat show multiple warheads landing around two Israeli air bases: Nevatim Airbase in the south of the country and Tel Nof Airbase in central Israel. One video filmed near Tel Nof also appeared to show possible secondary explosions, indicating that ammunition or fuel may have been struck by a missile.
Videos also showed warheads landing in northern Tel Aviv, near the headquarters of Israel’s intelligence agency, Mossad. Those warheads appear to have missed their target and did not inflict any real damage. One video showed a large crater about 500 yards from the spy agency’s headquarters.
Sponsor Message6. A strike on Nevatim Airbase, verified by The Post, @JakeGodin and others. One of the heaviest documented so far. pic.twitter.com/37QlbnhvFB
— Evan Hill (@evanhill) October 1, 2024Experts say the attack was somewhat more successful than the one in April of this year, which was almost completely neutralized by Israeli and American air defenses.
“It looks like more missiles seem to be hitting targets in Israel this time around,” says Jeffrey Lewis, a professor at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, Calif. That could be in part because “the Iranians seem to be using newer, more sophisticated missiles.”
The U.S. calls the strikes "ineffective"Both the U.S. and Israel downplayed the strikes. “This attack appears to have been defeated and ineffective,” U.S. national security adviser Jake Sullivan said in a briefing Tuesday. The U.S. said it had fired about a dozen interceptors from warships in an effort to blunt the Iranian assault.
Loading...
According to reports in the Israeli media, the military acknowledged that the strike had damaged “several” air bases. However, it said that no aircraft had been destroyed. Israeli media reported that the attacks had mainly damaged maintenance areas and office buildings.
Middle East crisis — explained Israel's military fights Hezbollah in Lebanon, as it vows to respond to Iran's missilesAn Israel Defense Forces spokesperson declined to comment to NPR on casualties or damage resulting from the strike. The Israeli military spokesperson, Lt. Col. Peter Lerner, said in a briefing on the social media platform X that “We don’t want to tip off Iran... Our air force and air force bases remain operational.”
⚡️ 🚨 Scenes of #Iranian Fateh missiles falling on the Tel Nof air base south of Rehovot pic.twitter.com/RDq9A1B9KF
— Middle East Observer (@ME_Observer_) October 1, 2024Although the strike may have been limited in the damage it caused, it was a clear challenge to Israel’s much-vaunted air defense systems. Israel’s main system, called Iron Dome, has proven incredibly effective against rockets from nearby adversaries like the militant groups Hamas and Hezbollah. Iron Dome uses relatively cheap interceptor missiles, together with state-of-the-art radars and high-speed computing, to quickly determine which incoming missiles pose a threat. It only takes shots at the ones it determines are falling in populated areas.
Sponsor Message Better missiles and more of themBut ballistic missiles from Iran travel much higher and faster than those fired from nearby Lebanon and Gaza. The missiles fly briefly into space before coming down on their targets near or at hypersonic speeds. Israel has a separate missile defense system known as Arrow, which is capable of intercepting missiles near or in space, but Arrow has fewer interceptors than Iron Dome.
A man takes photos of a destroyed building that was hit in Iran's missile attack in Hod Hasharon, Israel, Wednesday. Ariel Schalit/AP hide caption
toggle caption Ariel Schalit/APWhen Iran attacked Israel in April, it used about 100 ballistic missiles in conjunction with roughly 200 low-flying drones and cruise missiles, according to Yehoshua Kalisky, a senior researcher at the Institute for National Strategic Studies in Tel Aviv, Israel. The drones and cruise missiles were shot down easily by fighter jets, leaving the missiles for Arrow, he says.
This time, Iran launched about 180 ballistic missiles, putting more strain on the Arrow system. “The job for the Arrow was much easier [in April],” he says.
Middle East crisis — explained Israel's many conflicts could soon crack its Iron DomeMoreover, images of the missiles being fired out of Iran, together with pictures of debris that fell in Israel, suggests more sophisticated ballistic missiles were used, Lewis says.
In the April attack, Lewis says Iran used primarily liquid-fueled missiles that were relatively inaccurate. Half of the missiles fell more than a half mile from their targets. “It’s pretty hard to destroy something with that level of accuracy,” he says.
In this latest attack, Iran used new solid-propellant missiles that are more accurate, he says. Lewis and other researchers say at least some of the missiles used appear to be Iran’s newest design, the Fattah, a medium-range ballistic missile that may have a degree of maneuverability as it enters the atmosphere, allowing it to alter course and avoid interceptor missiles.
Footage from yesterday's strike shows the launch of what appear to be either Kheybarshekan 2 or Fattah 1 solid-propellant missiles. https://t.co/MBvUQuBqc6 pic.twitter.com/1mQuWFhgxz
— Fabian Hinz (@fab_hinz) October 2, 2024Lewis says he believes Iran’s latest strike was designed to show some restraint. The warheads fell primarily on air bases that may have been used in last week’s attacks on Hezbollah’s leadership, he points out. “It’s very typical to see Iranians pick military targets that are linked to the military strike that they’re responding to,” he says.
The strike also appeared to largely avoid civilian areas. The only publicly acknowledged death from the attack so far was a Palestinian man in the West Bank who was apparently struck by a falling missile body. A school in central Israel was also hit, though no casualties were reported.
Sponsor MessageDespite the attempt to control escalation, Israel is likely to respond with force, says Tom Karako, director of the Missile Defense Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Following the April attack, Israel knocked out an air defense radar near Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz, he points out. That limited attack was designed to send a message: “The Israelis can penetrate Iranian airspace, they’ve demonstrated that time and time again,” he says. “They can bring the hurt to Iran.”
Lerner, Israel’s military spokesperson, suggested that it would only be a matter of time before the nation struck back directly against Iran. “One ballistic missile is an unacceptable reality for any sovereign state,” he told reporters. “One hundred and eighty means there will be consequences.”
Iran Israel-
Indian police have arrested a Sikh separatist leader who had been on the runHow Biden is getting used to life as a lame-duck presidentAnnouncing NPR's fourth annual College Podcast ChallengeThe U.S. has had a long history of political violence, but experts see a new trendThe weekend stadium tragedy underscores the danger of watching soccer in IndonesiaInside the U.S. city churning out Ukrainian weaponsRupert Murdoch is set to face his kids in court, with Fox News’ fate in the balanceCyberattacks plague health care. Critics call the federal response 'inadequate'The Taliban shut down Afghanistan's only women-run radio stationForget tedious paper applications, Americans can now renew passports online
下一篇:The proud Pakistani tradition of feeding the hungry is strained as food prices soar
- ·These BTS superfans in the Philippines show you're never too old to be a K-pop stan
- ·Inside the U.S. city churning out Ukrainian weapons
- ·Trump was targeted in apparent 'attempted assassination,' the FBI says
- ·Hazardous chemicals in food packaging can also be found in people
- ·'Sushi terrorist' and 2 accomplices arrested in Japan after viral prank
- ·Three Mile Island nuclear plant will reopen to power Microsoft data centers
- ·AI met fruit fly, and a better brain model emerged
- ·The Federal Reserve starts cutting interest rates in a big moment for the economy
- ·Cooking gas explosion kills 31 people at a barbecue restaurant in northwestern China
- ·Connie Chung says booze and bawdy jokes helped her break into journalism's boys club
- ·See a loopy landlady in a caftan? Mrs. Roper may be romping through your town
- ·Trump held his first campaign event since the apparent assassination attempt
- ·A Thai court sentences an activist to 28 years for online posts about the monarchy
- ·Shanghai hit by strongest typhoon since 1949
- ·China frees American pastor after 18 years in detention
- ·Harris calls Trump's remarks about Haitian immigrants in Springfield a 'crying shame'
- ·The deadly clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan, explained
- ·The Federal Reserve is on the verge of cutting interest rates. Here's what to know
- ·Some Israelis are leaving the country due to the war in Gaza
- ·Her piano concert was six years in the making. Then Puerto Rico's power went out
- ·How protesters in China bypass online censorship to express dissent
- ·AI met fruit fly, and a better brain model emerged
- ·Lael Wilcox rode around the world and then went for another bike ride
- ·Venezuela's opposition leader says he was forced to sign letter that admits defeat
- ·A Pakistani court orders former Prime Minister Imran Khan to be released on bail
- ·JD Souther, who collaborated on 'Heartache Tonight' and other Eagles hits, dies at 78
- ·How to make sure your donation will do the most good for earthquake survivors
- ·Microsoft says Russia’s election interference efforts have pivoted to Harris and Walz
- ·Some Israelis are leaving the country due to the war in Gaza
- ·A bookstore too controversial for China finds home in D.C.
- ·The U.N.'s nuclear watchdog says Japan can release nuclear waste water into the ocean
- ·The FBI is investigating packages sent to election officials in more than 15 states
- ·People who exercise have healthier belly fat, new study finds
- ·Harris calls Trump's remarks about Haitian immigrants in Springfield a 'crying shame'
- ·Filipino police kill 3 inmates in jail rampage after ex-senator was held hostage
- ·Here's everything we know about the apparent assassination attempt on Trump